South Africa’s agricultural exports set to top US$13.7B in 2025 amid trade pressures
Export growth remains strong, but logistics and US tariffs continue to strain margins.
SOUTH AFRICA – South Africa’s agricultural exports are on track to exceed US$13.7 billion in 2025, supported by firm global demand for citrus, grapes and macadamia nuts.
Export values rose by 10 per cent during the first nine months of 2025 compared to the same period last year. Industry analysts link the growth to steady shipments to traditional markets and stronger trade with African partners and BRICS countries.
Producers expanded their reach beyond long standing destinations in Europe and Asia. They increased volumes into African markets and strengthened ties with BRICS economies, which helped cushion the sector against global market shifts.
Citrus and table grapes led the export drive, while macadamia nuts maintained solid demand. Exporters report that buyers continue to place orders despite higher costs across the supply chain.
An industry source said, “Demand for South African fruit and nuts remains firm, and exporters have worked hard to secure new markets across Africa and BRICS countries.”
Despite the strong export figures, many exporters face rising operational costs. Port congestion, rail delays and slow cross border payment systems continue to eat into margins. These constraints increase transport and handling costs and reduce overall profitability.
Researchers warn that unless authorities improve port efficiency and rail movement, exporters will struggle to maintain growth at current levels.
AGOA extension offers relief but tariffs remain
Trade policy also adds pressure. The one year extension of the African Growth and Opportunity Act signed by Donald Trump offers short term relief, but high tariffs remain in place.
South African fruit groups welcomed the extension of AGOA, saying it prevents immediate disruption in access to the US market. However, they stress that existing tariffs still limit gains.
The South African Table Grape Industry said, “The extension is good news and a step in the right direction. However, the 30 per cent tariff announced in 2025 remains in place and AGOA will not override this.”
The group explained that exporters now pay a total tariff of 30 per cent on grapes shipped to the US, instead of a higher combined charge that would have applied without AGOA.
While export volumes continue to move into global markets, the sector’s performance in 2025 will depend on faster logistics, stable trade terms and careful cost control.
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